2011 Aggregator Programs Accuracy of Baseline Estimates Presentation

Baselines are a tool to estimate demand reductions

  • Measuring demand reductions is an entirely different task than measuring power production
    • Power production is metered and thus is measured directly.
    • Demand reductions cannot be metered. They must be estimated by indirect approaches.
  • In principle, the reduction is simply the difference between electricity use with and without the load curtailment
    • However, it is not possible to directly observe or meter what electricity use would have been in the absence of the curtailment – the counterfactual.
    • Instead, the counterfactual must be estimated.

Read the Full Presentation